We call the direction first — up, or below the offer price — and treat the range as a guide. Misses stay on this page.
Direction called
100%2/2
Landed in range
50%1/2
Forecasts scored
2
The tally covers forecasts made under the rules revised on 2026-09-23. Earlier listings are scored on their own pages.
listing 10/30(Fri) ・ indicative range 4,030〜¥4,040
recorded 9/29
called up
4,100〜¥6,000
listing 11/2(Mon) ・ indicative range 800〜¥830
recorded 9/29
called up
910〜¥1,350
listing 11/4(Wed) ・ indicative range 1,250〜¥1,260
recorded 10/1
called up
1,250〜¥1,900
listing 11/5(Thu) ・ assumed price ¥560
recorded 10/1
called up
560〜¥840
listing 11/6(Fri) ・ assumed price ¥1,070
recorded 10/2
called up
1,100〜¥1,600
listing 11/10(Tue) ・ assumed price ¥820
recorded 10/8
called up
820〜¥1,250
listing 11/25(Wed) ・ assumed price ¥1,620
recorded 10/19
called up
1,650〜¥2,450
How this page works
We first decide whether the stock will open above or below its offer price, and the range never straddles the offer price. For a stock we expect to open higher, the range is at most 50% of the offer price wide; for one we expect to open below, at most 15% (widths chosen from the historical distribution of first prices). Forecasts freeze on the second morning after the offer price is set and are not changed afterwards, even before listing; changing one after listing is forbidden to both the research and audit teams. Only forecasts recorded before the listing date are counted, misses are never removed, and hits are never cherry-picked.
This page is reference information, not investment advice or a solicitation. IPO investing does not guarantee your principal, and a forecast does not guarantee the first traded price.
